Retiring Before 65? Don't Overpay for Health Insurance

Before Medicare starts at 65, you buy your own health insurance. In 2026, earning a single dollar too much can add $10,000 to $20,000 a year to what you pay.

The good news: what you pay comes down to one number you control, your MAGI.

Get your 2026 cliff report + the MAGI guide as a PDF. We'll also email you when the rules move your number.

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2025
2026

2026: Cliff Restored

Cliff at 400% FPL Cross the line and you pay full price

How this is calculated: assumptions & limitations
  • State-level benchmark premiums. Premiums use KFF state-level SLCSP benchmarks for a 40-year-old (2025 plan year, the latest in our dataset), adjusted by CMS age rating factors. Your actual premium depends on your county and plan choice. The benchmark is a statewide average.
  • Second-lowest cost Silver plan (SLCSP). ACA subsidies are calculated against the SLCSP benchmark in your area, not the plan you actually choose. Choosing a Bronze or Gold plan changes your out-of-pocket cost but not your subsidy amount.
  • 2026 Federal Poverty Levels. The 400% FPL thresholds shown here ($62,920 single / $85,360 couple) use the same 2026 FPL figures as the Lumifin app. Your exchange's official determination governs.
  • Medicaid below 138% FPL. The calculator assumes Medicaid expansion coverage at near-zero cost below 138% FPL. In states that haven't expanded Medicaid (including Texas and Florida), adults below 100% FPL can fall into a coverage gap with no subsidy at all.
  • Spouses are assumed to be the same age. In practice, different ages mean different premiums for each spouse. Children are rated at the standard CMS child factor, with a maximum of 3 children charged per ACA rules.

For a personalized analysis using your actual location, income sources, and account mix, model it yourself in Lumifin ($199/yr).

What This Means for Early Retirees

The ACA cliff can cost you tens of thousands a year. The right plan avoids it.

The Cliff Effect

One dollar over the line and your whole subsidy is gone. For a couple in their early 60s, premiums jump from ~$7,000 to ~$28,000 a year.

MAGI Management

Roth conversions, capital gains, and Traditional IRA withdrawals all raise your MAGI. Which accounts you draw from decides whether you stay under the cliff.

Plan Ahead

The right withdrawal order can save you $10,000 to $20,000 a year. It's not about earning less, it's about where your income comes from.

Get your cliff report + the MAGI guide by email

We'll send a PDF with your 2026 cliff numbers plus our full “How to Control Your MAGI” guide — which accounts raise your MAGI, which don't, and the real example that saved $135,000 over 8 years. Or read the guide online →

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ACA Subsidy FAQ

The most common questions early retirees ask about ACA subsidies and the 2026 cliff.

What is the ACA subsidy cliff?

It's the income point where your premium tax credit drops to zero. Below the cliff, your subsidy phases out gradually as income rises. At the cliff, one extra dollar of income can cost a couple in their early 60s tens of thousands of dollars per year in lost subsidies. From 2021 through 2025, the cliff was temporarily suspended, so subsidies kept phasing out smoothly. Those enhanced subsidies expired after 2025, so in 2026 the cliff is back in effect.

How much can a Roth conversion cost me in lost ACA subsidies?

A conversion that pushes you past the cliff can wipe out $10,000 to $20,000 a year in subsidies. A Roth conversion is added to your Modified Adjusted Gross Income (MAGI), which is what the ACA uses to size your subsidy. For a couple in their early 60s buying insurance on the exchange, that loss can run even higher in high-premium states. Many people do better converting smaller amounts each year while staying under the cliff.

What MAGI keeps me eligible for ACA subsidies in 2026?

Stay under 400% of the Federal Poverty Level, roughly the mid-$80,000s in MAGI for a household of two. The exact threshold depends on your state and that year's FPL update. Above that line, you pay the full unsubsidized premium with no help. The calculator on this page shows the exact threshold for your household size and what crossing it costs.

Does Social Security count toward ACA MAGI?

Yes, all of it, even the part that isn't taxed federally. This trips up a lot of early retirees. A couple drawing $40,000 of Social Security has the full $40,000 counted toward ACA MAGI, even if only half ends up in their taxable income. This matters most for people deciding whether to claim Social Security before age 65.

What happens if I underestimate my income for ACA?

You pay back the excess subsidies at tax time, and from 2026 on there's no cap if you cross the cliff. You apply for subsidies based on projected income for the coming year. Below the 400% FPL line, the payback is capped based on your income level. Above it, the repayment is uncapped. This is why people in early retirement track every dollar of MAGI, since a late-year Roth conversion or capital gain can trigger a full repayment.

Can I qualify for ACA subsidies if I have a lot in savings or investments?

Yes. The ACA has no asset test, only an income (MAGI) test. Eligibility is based on income, not net worth. Someone with $2 million in retirement accounts who lives off Roth withdrawals plus a small brokerage drawdown can qualify for substantial subsidies, because Roth withdrawals don't count toward MAGI and capital gains can be managed carefully. This is one reason the order in which you draw from accounts matters so much before age 65.

Related: Roth Conversion Calculator