How we answer "Can I retire?"

We model what actually happens to your money: year by year, dollar by dollar, after taxes.

Why it can’t be solved one at a time

Six questions. One engine.

How much cash to reserve? the cash & bond buffer How much to withdraw? and from which accounts How much to convert? Roth, and in which years How much to sell? gains at 0%, and what’s past it How much tax each year? and RMDs from 73 or 75, need it or not When to claim? Social Security, 62 to 70 Your projection all six, every year Move one, the others move.

Across your lifetime

Withdrawal order and Roth conversions are decided over decades, not in isolation. Converting today leaves less to be forced out at 73 or 75. The income it adds now can cost an ACA subsidy before 65, or raise a Medicare premium two years later. The amounts are solved across every year at once.

This year

All six compete for one thing: room in a low tax bracket. You can fine-tune this year's Roth conversion, tax-deferred withdrawals, and realized capital gains, and see how that affects your taxes and healthcare costs.

What we model

Everything the engine accounts for behind those six questions.

Taxes: federal and state

We compute your tax bill year by year using actual progressive brackets, not a flat "25% tax rate" guess. Every withdrawal and income source hits the right bracket.

Account-type-aware modeling

$1M in a traditional IRA is not the same as $1M in a Roth. We track traditional, Roth, and taxable accounts separately, because each has different tax treatment that changes how much is actually yours to spend.

Healthcare costs

The gap between employer coverage and Medicare (ages 55–65) is the most expensive surprise in early retirement. We model ACA premiums, subsidies based on your income, IRMAA surcharges, and out-of-pocket costs.

Required Minimum Distributions

At 73 or 75, depending on your birth year, the IRS forces withdrawals from tax-deferred accounts. We model RMDs using IRS life expectancy tables and factor the tax impact into your plan.

Couples & spousal planning

For married couples filing jointly, we model both spouses' accounts, RMDs, Social Security benefits, and what happens financially when one spouse passes.

Inflation-adjusted projections

$80K/year today won't buy the same in 20 years. Every number in your projection is in today's dollars so you can compare apples to apples across your timeline.

Cash reserve modeling

You choose how many years of spending to hold safe, and every projected year honours it. The reserve is placed across your accounts in your withdrawal order, and refilling it after a drawdown means selling stock, so the tax that creates lands in the year it happens.

Custom income

Salary, rental income, pensions, part-time work, Social Security. Each source is taxed differently, and we layer them in the right order so your brackets come out right.

Fine-tune this year

Some lines are cliffs: one dollar over and you lose an ACA subsidy or jump a Medicare tier. A rule that holds up over thirty years cannot see that edge. Set this year's sale, withdrawal and conversion amounts exactly, and watch where each one lands.

How most calculators work vs. what we do

Most calculators
Lumifin
Flat tax rate assumption (e.g., "25%")
Year-by-year federal + state progressive brackets
All savings treated as one bucket
Traditional, Roth, and taxable tracked separately
Healthcare costs ignored or static
ACA premiums, subsidies, IRMAA, Medicare modeled by year
Social Security as a flat number
Social Security with taxability modeling at your claiming age
"You need $X to retire"
"You can spend $X/year and end with $Y at age Z"

What you walk away with

1

Your Confidence Spend™

The most you can spend on living expenses every year, with taxes and healthcare already covered. Not a probability to interpret. A floor, tested against the worst 30 years in US market history.

2

The order to draw from your accounts

Which account to take from first, and what each order costs you in lifetime taxes, healthcare, and what is left at the end. You pick the one you want; the difference is in dollars, not adjectives.

3

Your tax bill while you can still change it

Your taxes are decided by December 31 and usually first looked at in the year after, when nothing can be moved. See what a sale, a withdrawal or a conversion does to your brackets, your Medicare surcharge and your subsidy while the year is still open.

Ready to see your number?

Get full Lumifin app access for $199/yr and model every retirement decision yourself: withdrawal order, Roth conversions, and ACA strategy.